The 81st Masters includes 94 participants from 22 countries, and we have ranked them all in order of best (most likely to win) to worst (least likely to win).

There are no surprises at the top or bottom, but keep in mind that last year we had Danny Willett ranked No. 27. So you never know what’s going to happen over the rest of the week.


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1. Jordan Spieth (Best finish: Won in 2015): Spieth has played Augusta three times and never finished worse than second. That is remarkable. With the way he has been striking it so far in 2017, he’s an easy favorite here and will be for the foreseeable future. Don’t talk to me about the missed cut in Houston. Spieth missed the weekend there in 2014 and nearly won at 20 at Augusta National. Up until last year, I thought Bubba Watson was the built-in favorite, but Spieth has assumed that role until someone takes it from him.

2. Dustin Johnson (T4 in 2016): Only one golfer since the 1950s has won four straight PGA Tour events, and I think we all know who that is. D.J. can make it two golfers if he wins at Augusta. Just don’t let caddie and brother Austin measure him for the jacket.

3. Rory McIlroy (fourth in 2015): For most of the golfers on this list, one has to stretch the imagination to envision them winning a green jacket. For McIlroy, one has to do the opposite.

4. Justin Rose (T2 in 2015): I just hope he wears the shades in Butler Cabin with Jim Nantz and Co.

5. Phil Mickelson (Won in 2004, ‘06, ‘10): If Lefty wins another one at 46, he’s going to ski down No. 10 next year on a pair of alligators while wearing his leather jacket. I want that.

6. Hideki Matsuyama (fifth in 2015): Matsuyama has finished T7 and fifth in the past two years. He also has two wins and two runners-up on the season. His swing is as pure as the carpet at Augusta, but can he make man-sized putts on Sunday? We’ll see.

7. Adam Scott (won in 2013): Scott is one of those guys who plays well during a given week and makes you wonder, “How in the hell do I not pick this guy to win every single major championship?” He doesn’t have a top 10 here since he won it in 2013, but I’m too fearful of his iron play to put him outside the top 10.

8. Paul Casey (T4 in 2016): Wait … Paul Casey? Yes, Paul Casey. The Englishman has top-six finishes the past two years and has the power to get it done. The only problem? He only has one win in 207 PGA Tour starts. He’s a sneaky great sleeper pick.

9. Jon Rahm (First appearance): Big Spain is scared of no field, no course and no man. I question whether he has the mental patience it takes to win a major just yet, but that’s about all I question.

10. Rickie Fowler (T5 in 2014): He only has one top 10 here. He’ll win a major, but I think it will be a British Open and not the Masters. Orange and green do look nice together.

11. Justin Thomas (T39 in 2016): Settled in last year, and I think he’s going to have an incredible week this time around. He’ll lay up on a par 5 when Jay Monahan rolls the ball back to the 1800s. Also has the best shoe game around.

12. Sergio Garcia (T4 in 2004): I still believe. Last year’s Masters champion -- Danny Willett -- won the Dubai Desert Classic en route to a stunning victory at Augusta National. This year, Garcia won the Dubai Desert Classic. Could it be? Garcia has never seemed happier off the course, and his swing is as good as ever. I won’t trust that he has won a major until about three weeks after the final putt drops, and I don’t think Augusta will be the one. But I do think Garcia gets a couple more good shots at the green jacket before he passes the torch to Jon Rahm.

13. Jason Day (T2 in 2011): There are two very different ways this week could go for Day. With the devastating news of his mother’s recent cancer, I can see Day ejecting early and missing the cut or hanging on for an incredibly emotional win late Sunday. Can you imagine? I’m leaning more toward the former, unfortunately.

14. Bubba Watson (Won in 2012, ‘14): You have to respect the wins. You have to beware of the fact that he only has two other top 10s at major championships (and the pink ball).

15. Matt Kuchar (T3 in 2012): Kuchar has finished in the top 10 here in three of the past five tournaments. The flip side? He has only ever posted one Sunday score below 71.

16. Thomas Pieters (first appearance): The Belgian could win multiple majors. I know what I saw first-hand at the Ryder Cup last year. McIlroy handed him the reins, and he took them with both eyes wide open. He is to be feared at big boy events.

17. Brooks Koepka (T21 in 2016): Koepka said recently he was hurt in his two previous Masters appearances. He has still fared pretty well turning in a T21 and T33. He has the goods to get it done, but he has missed three of his past seven cuts.

18. Brandt Snedeker (T3 in 2008): If the putter scorches, who knows? Top 10 in two of the past four years, and nobody looks or dresses more like he was supposed to win a tournament in the deep south than Snedeker.

19. Jimmy Walker (T8 in 2014): He has not missed a cut here in three tries and will come in as the last major winner (2016 PGA Championship). Walker always flies under the radar, and even though I’m not in love with his game, I think he can contend here.

20. Henrik Stenson (T14 in 2014): There will be extra security at the gate leading to Magnolia Lane just to check Stenson’s 3-wood.

21. Lee Westwood (second in 2010): Who has finished in the top 11 in six of the past seven years here? Who is 100-1 to win this time around? Who loves that number and thinks you should hit it in case the back door flies open Sunday like what almost happened last year?

22. Patrick Reed (T22 in 2015): Reed thinks he’s supposed to hit the ceremonial tee shot. The reality is a little darker than that: He still doesn’t have a top 10 at a major.

23. Matthew Fitzpatrick (T7 in 2016): I just don’t see it with him at this tournament. Will he win a major? Maybe, but I don’t think it will be at Augusta National (yes, I know he beat Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose and Sergio Garcia last year).

24. Marc Leishman (T4 in 2013): Big-game hunter who’s coming off a win at Bay Hill. Probably won’t win, but zero surprises if he contends.

25. J.B. Holmes (T4 in 2016): Holmes has finished in the top five in two of the past four majors and has missed the cut at the other two. He’s the definition of all or nothing.

26. Daniel Berger (T10 in 2016): Berger has wobbled of late, but his maiden voyage at Augusta National in 2016 was a success. There are times it seems he has a real “doesn’t give a crap” attitude about big moments, which is what you need when you’re trying to win in just your second try at this course.

27. Emiliano Grillo (T17 in 2016): I can see Grillo Angel Cabrera-ing one of these big boy events at some point. He’s a total stud.

28. Tyrrell Hatton (first appearance): I’m in on Hatton even though this is his first run at Augusta. He has top 10s in the past two majors.

29. Gary Woodland (T24 in 2011): I have always been enamored with his game at Augusta. Woodland and his wife sadly just lost one of their twins during pregnancy so this would be an extra-sweet story were he able to pull it off.

30. Zach Johnson (won in 2007): It’s still crazy to me that he won this tournament (and that he was 11 under on the par 5s the week he won!). Not that Johnson is not a really good player, he is just that. But this course doesn’t fit him that well. To that point: Since winning in 2007, he has missed four cuts and made five. Still, he’s one of only a handful to have won Augusta and St. Andrews. It’s a hell of a list.

31. Louis Oosthuizen (second in 2012): Oosthuizen has finished in the top 25 here each of the past three years. He’s also four swings from four majors, which is my favorite stat in sports.

32. Danny Willett (won in 2016): He’s a solid golfer who will likely go down with just one major championship. Such is life in the Rory-D.J. era.

33. Kevin Kisner (T37 in 2016): Kisner has never broken par here (in four rounds) so this might seem a touch high, but he can get as hot as anybody on the PGA Tour. He will also be a local favorite as he’s from Aiken, South Carolina. Thankfully, there won’t be any golf carts there to derail his attempts at a green jacket.

34. Ryan Moore (T12 in 2015): I want to love Moore at Augusta. His quirky, fun swing and calm demeanor seem like they should play really well. But he has missed two of three cuts and finally in 2015 bested his previous best finish at the Masters in 2005, which happened as an amateur.

35. Charl Schwartzel (won in 2011): Doesn’t have a top 20 since he won. Only has one other PGA Tour win (2016 Valspar Championship).

36. Chris Wood (T42 in 2016): D.J. lite. Like, really really lite.

37. Charley Hoffman (T9 in 2015): I feel bad for the man who got swallowed by the Spieth-Mickelson-Rose-Woods-McIlroy vortex in 2015. That was his best year here.

38. Bill Haas (T12 in 2015): It feels like Haas leads after at least one round every year, doesn’t it? He’s still trying to usurp his dad’s best finish of T3 here in 1995.

39. Jim Furyk (fourth in 1998, 2003): Four straight top 25s here before a missed cut and a DNP the past two years. Underrated player on the PGA Tour, but his Masters-challenging days are likely behind him.

40. Alex Noren (first appearance): Noren is a first-timer at the age of 34. He’s also the highest-ranked golfer in the world (currently No. 10) who is also playing in his first Masters.

41. Bernd Wiesberger (T22 in 2015): The answer to the trivia question, “Who watched a massacre up close of two Americans at the hands of Rory McIlroy at Valhalla in 2014?” Bernd Wiesberger, of course.

42. Rafael Cabrera-Bello (T17 in 2016): Can you imagine how Garcia would feel if Cabrera-Bello won the Masters before Garcia got any kind of major?

43. Shane Lowry (T39 in 2016): Actually has the game everyone thinks Andrew “Beef” Johnston has.

44. Tommy Fleetwood (first appearance): In a lot of ways, he could be the Danny Willett of this year’s Masters. He was awesome at the WGC-Mexico Championship and beat D.J. in Abu Dhabi. It’s tough to see two straight Willetts, though.

45. Ernie Els (second in 2000, ‘04): This is likely Els’ last Masters. That makes me sad. “I’ve put a lot of energy into that event, and that’s why after 23 times there I’m not really looking at going to win,” he told the Augusta Chronicle. “I’m hoping to have a nice week, and if I can play the four rounds, that’ll be great and that’ll be that. A lot of guys have never had the opportunity to have a chance to win, and I’ve had a couple of chances to win. So I knew how that felt like. It didn’t quite go my way. I just want to have a good week.”

46. Webb Simpson (T28 in 2015): Simpson only has one top 10 in a major (a win at the 2012 U.S. Open). He has not played particularly well at Augusta (no top 25s), but he has played relatively well so far this season.

47. Jason Dufner (T20 in 2013): Can you imagine Jim Nantz on Sunday? “War Augusta! Duf Daddy takes the Masters!”

48. Martin Kaymer (T31 in 2014): This place is pretty deep in Kaymer’s psyche. He once tried to change his swing as the No. 1 golfer in the world to win here. He has never finished in the top 30.

49. Andy Sullivan (MC in 2016): Sort of a lesser version of Hatton to me. We’ll see if that’s how their careers play out.

50. Kevin Chappell (T44 in 2012): I suppose he could pull a Schwartzel and have his first PGA Tour win be at the Masters, but that seems a little far-fetched for me. Still, solid player.

51. Byeong-Hun An (MC in 2016): The former U.S. Amateur winner has played two Masters and missed the cut at both. I love his game, but this tournament is a different animal.

52. Branden Grace (T18 in 2013): Grace has missed three straight cuts at this event.

53. Scott Piercy (T29 in 2016): Flirted with a U.S. Open win at Oakmont last summer before ceding to D.J.

54. James Hahn (MC in 2015): It seems as if there are a whole host of James Hahns in this field. Guys who are not good enough to win but not poor enough to completely write off.

55. Russell Henley (21st in 2015): Last-second entry after taking the Houston Open last week. He made over 500 feet of putts there. If he does that this week, he’ll win. (He won’t do that this week.)

56. Soren Kjeldsen (T7 in 2016): Just took down McIlroy in the WGC-Match Play. He also clipped him by a stroke at the Masters last year. It’s like everybody says, for McIlroy to win the Grand Slam, he has to go through Kjeldsen to do it.

57. Francesco Molinari (T19 in 2012): Having a great year so far. Would be Italy’s biggest win since whenever the last Euro Cup took place.

58. Kevin Na (T12 in 2012): I like Na. I think he’s underrated. That 81 from Round 4 last year is kind of tough to ignore, though.

59. Steve Stricker (T6 in 2009): Will have to have literally the greatest putting week anyone in history has ever had, but it’s not completely outside the realm of possibility.

60. Adam Hadwin (first appearance): Hadwin had to reschedule his honeymoon for this week. He’ll dream of laying on a beach in a green jacket somewhere warm. Then he’ll wake up.

61. Bernhard Langer (won in 1993): He was in the mix last year before ejecting on Sunday with a 79. That felt a little bit like lightning in a bottle, though. It would be a stunner if Langer, 59, won the Masters.

62. Hudson Swafford (first appearance): I’m in on Swafford. He has the pedigree. He has the length. He is one of the better Americans nobody really knows.

63. Ross Fisher (T15 in 2011): The guy he tied with in 2011 ... was third-round leader Rory McIlroy.

64. Russell Knox (MC in 2016): The least-known Knox in the field, to be honest. I like Knox as a player, but he’s coming in having missed three of his past five cuts. The only two he didn’t miss were no-cut tournaments.

65. Roberto Castro (MC in 2014): Has broken par at Augusta National as many times as I have.

66. Fred Couples (won in 1992): The magic might have run thin for Couples at this event. After five straight top 20s from 2010 to ‘14, he has had a missed cut and DNP the past two years. You could convince me that Couples could punch and judy his way around this course until he’s 80, but it’s difficult to see him rolling with big dogs like D.J. and Spieth on the weekend.

67. Curtis Luck (first appearance): I’m giddy. Luck is a total stud who won two different amateur events to qualify for this tournament. Spieth played with him in Australia last December and raved about his game. The idea of an amateur winning the Masters is often overwrought, but that doesn’t mean it wouldn’t be cool as hell.

68. Vijay Singh (won in 2000): Nobody, I mean nobody, gets their money’s worth during Masters week like Singh. The man hits more balls than all the amateurs combined. Gary Player says he has hit more balls than anyone in history. Somebody introduce these two so Player can revise his statement. He hasn’t finished in the top 20 since 2008.

69. Brendan Steele (MC in 2012): Nice player. Not a Masters champion.

70. William McGirt (first appearance): Making his debut at age 37. Has missed three of seven cuts.

71. Daniel Summerhays (first appearance): Remember when he finished in the top four of the PGA Championship last season? He has been cut in four of his past seven events.

72. Hideto Tanihara (MC in 2007): You know what they say, the Masters doesn’t start until Tanihara torches Spieth at the WGC-Match Play two weeks before Augusta.

73. Jhonattan Vegas (MC in 2011): I want this just for the Nantz call on Sunday.

74. Angel Cabrera (won in 2009): Cabrera has been splitting time between the PGA Tour and Web.com Tour. He still has three top 10s at Augusta since 2009, including a win and that heartbreaking playoff loss in 2013 to Adam Scott.

75. Si Woo Kim (first appearance): Love me some Si Woo, but the list of 21-year-olds wearing green jackets is historic, and he’s not going to be on it.

76. Mackenzie Hughes (first appearance): I’m not even sure he’s in my top three Canadians.

77. Sean O’Hair (T10 in 2009): O’Hair has as many PGA Tour wins as Rickie Fowler. How about that?

78. Pat Perez (T45 in 2003): It’s hard to believe this is just Perez’s third Masters given how long he has been on the PGA Tour. He’s a redemption story, though, after sitting much of last year with an injury.

79. Jeunghun Wang (first appearance): I bet you didn’t know Wang was ranked ahead of Jim Furyk, Lee Westwood and Zach Johnson in the Official World Golf Rankings. (Neither did I.)

80. Billy Hurley III (first appearance): Awesome story for Hurley getting to Augusta for the first time at the age of 34. I’m always a sucker for stories like his. Unfortunately, the major championship golf gods are not.

81. Brian Stuard (first appearance): Best major finish ever is a T79. So I might have him too high.

82. Yuta Ikeda (29th in 2010): Might be the best name in the field. I want Nick Faldo saying this on repeat.

83. Jose Maria Olazabal (won in 1994, ‘99): Olazabal has made two straight cuts and finished inside the top 40 last year. Stunning stuff from a 51-year-old.

84. Brad Dalke (first appearance): The Oklahoma Sooner once beat Rory McIlroy in an arm wrestling contest. Unfortunately for him, he won’t beat McIlroy in much of anything at this year’s Masters.

85. Rod Pampling (T5 in 2005): Pampling finished T5 the last time Tiger Woods won. Who would have thought that 12 years later he would finish ahead of Tiger.

86. Trevor Immelman (won in 2008): Immelman doesn’t have a top 10 here since he won in 2008 and hasn’t made the cut in three seasons.

87. Mark O’Meara (won in 1998): Was it more surprising when O’Meara won in 1998 or when he finished T22 in 2015 as a 58-year-old? Also, who in 1998 would have thought in 2017 that O’Meara would have played in more Masters recently than Tiger Woods?

88. Larry Mize (won in 1987): Mize has made more cuts in the past three years than Tiger Woods. How about that for a stat?

89. Mike Weir (won in 2003): Has missed five of six cuts. Weir sees fewer weekends than a hedge fund manager. Really though, can you believe we once had a playoff between Mike Weir and Len Mattiace at the Masters?!

90. Sandy Lyle (won in 1988): Lyle has missed five of seven cuts. Has as many top 50s as Woods in the past three Masters, though.

91. Scott Gregory (first appearance): Gregory won the 2016 Amateur Championship. He was 4 under (!) early at the British Open last year before ejecting hard and missing the cut.

92. Stewart Hagestad (first appearance): The U.S. Mid-Am winner once played Augusta National with Jeff Knox. So this week might be a step down.

93. Toto Gana (first appearance): When he was asked about his pedigree, Gana told the Associated Press, “I didn’t have any achievements, to be honest. I had won a couple of tournaments at home when I was really, really young.” So yeah, I’m guessing he’s not going to win the Masters.

94. Ian Woosnam (won in 1991): Woosie supposedly retired after last year’s Masters, but he got a reprieve when he was inducted into the World Golf Hall of Fame. The award made him feel spry enough to tee it up again for this year’s edition. He has not made a cut since 2008.